Possibility ↔ deduction
The door might be locked. / The red indicator is on; the door must be locked.
Modals
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The door might be locked. / The red indicator is on; the door must be locked.
You should back up the file. / You must wear eye protection.
Can you check this? / Could you check this?
Strength is not a fixed percentage; context and purpose control the reading.
La función y la fuerza de la afirmación vienen de la situación completa.